Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 0
Crystal Palace

Mane (36', 74')
Alexander-Arnold (71'), Milner (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayew (71'), Riedewald (83')

Reaction

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp celebrates after the match on May 8, 2021

Jurgen Klopp delighted with finish to campaign

The deposed Premier League champions secured Champions League qualification on the final day of the season.

May 23, 18:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Crystal Palace
66.47%	18.87%	14.66%

Both teams to score 54.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.47%

38.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.17%

60.83%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24%

10.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.25%

34.74%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12%

38.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39%

75.61%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 66.46%

Crystal Palace 14.66%

Draw 18.87%

Liverpool	Draw	Crystal Palace
2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.3% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-0 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.42% Total : 66.46%	1-1 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 4.18% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.87%	1-2 @ 4.16% 0-1 @ 3.95% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.46% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.66%