Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Watford had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
| 44.2% | 26.39% | 29.41% |
| Both teams to score 50.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% | 75.01% |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% | 24.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% | 58.36% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% | 32.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% | 69.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.41% |