Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
3 - 3
Brentford

Lascelles (10'), Joelinton (39'), Saint-Maximin (75')
Wilson (46'), Saint-Maximin (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Toney (11'), Henry (31'), Lascelles (61' og.)
Ghoddos (42'), Norgaard (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
20.37%	24.63%	55%

Both teams to score 47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.24%

53.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.76%

75.24%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87%

41.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33%

77.68%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 20.37%

Brentford 54.99%

Draw 24.63%

Newcastle United	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 7.12% 2-1 @ 5.17% 2-0 @ 3.16% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.37%	1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 5.85% 1-3 @ 5.19% 0-4 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.84% Total : 54.99%