Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2021 at 8pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Armstrong (3')
Romeu (62'), Salisu (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Ghazi (11'), Tuanzebe (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
46.34%	26.67%	27%

Both teams to score 48.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23%

55.78%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09%

76.91%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96%

24.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69%

58.31%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96%

36.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18%

72.83%

Score Analysis

Southampton 46.34%

Aston Villa 27%

Draw 26.66%

Southampton	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.34%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.56% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.93% Total : 27%