Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 33.49% | 28.03% | 38.48% |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% | 79.1% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% | 32.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% | 69.19% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% | 29.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.18% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.47% |