Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
39.56% | 28.55% | 31.89% |
Both teams to score 45.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.34% | 60.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.26% | 80.74% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% | 29.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% | 66% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.11% | 34.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.37% | 71.63% |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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