Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Everton

Cash (66'), Digne (69' og.), Bailey (75')
Bailey (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Godfrey (72')

Reaction

Everton manager Rafael Benitez reacts on August 24, 2021

Rafael Benitez says Aston Villa result "could have been different"

Everton manager Rafael Benitez speaks following his side's 3-0 defeat to Aston Villa, and believes they could have achieved a different otcome.

Sep 19, 15:07

Everton manager Rafael Benitez on August 28, 2021

Rafa Benitez insists Everton are a work in progress after second-half collapse

Villa scored three second-half goals against Everton.

Sep 18, 19:52

The Match

Match Report

Villa scored three goals in nine minutes to beat Everton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
39.56%	28.55%	31.89%

Both teams to score 45.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.34%

60.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.26%

80.74%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1%

29.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34%

66%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37%

71.63%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 39.55%

Everton 31.88%

Draw 28.55%

Aston Villa	Draw	Everton
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.48% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.55%	0-1 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.78% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.88%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa

23.1%

Draw

16.7%

Everton

60.1%