Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brentford

Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')

Reaction

Aston Villa's Emiliano Buendia celebrates scoring their first goal on August 28, 2021

Emi Buendia excited by 'amazing feeling' after scoring first Aston Villa goal

Emiliano Buendia scored his first goal for Aston Villa against Brentford.

Aug 29, 14:33

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith on August 28, 2021

Dean Smith unsure if Emi Buendia and Emi Martinez will report for Argentina duty

Dean Smith is hopeful Buendia and Martinez will stay in England.

Aug 28, 17:38

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
31.63%	27.79%	40.59%

Both teams to score 47.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.99%

58.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.3%

78.7%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32%

33.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67%

70.33%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32%

63.68%

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 31.62%

Brentford 40.58%

Draw 27.78%

Aston Villa	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.62%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 12% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.8% Total : 40.58%