Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Southampton |
37.36% | 27.23% | 35.41% |
Both teams to score 50.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.68% | 55.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% | 76.53% |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.41% | 28.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.62% | 64.38% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% | 29.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% | 65.85% |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |