Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2021 at 6pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 2
Leeds

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bamford (73'), Roberts (90+5')
Phillips (34'), Dallas (56'), Struijk (66')

Reaction

A general shot of a Premier League football ahead of the Premier League clash between Everton and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 30, 2016

Tyler Roberts delighted to net first Premier League goal

The game looked to be heading for a goalless draw until Patrick Bamford scored.

May 19, 13:02

Leeds United's Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring against Southampton in the Premier League on May 18, 2021

Marcelo Bielsa: 'Bamford has had a very positive campaign'

Tuesday's goal at St Mary's was Patrick Bamford's 16th of the season.

May 18, 21:24

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
36.85%	24.76%	38.39%

Both teams to score 58.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45%

44.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08%

66.92%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16%

23.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.97%

58.02%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.97%

23.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15%

56.85%

Score Analysis

Southampton 36.85%

Leeds United 38.39%

Draw 24.76%

Southampton	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.29% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.04% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.85%	1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.49% 0-1 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.39%