Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
30.51% | 28.15% | 41.33% |
Both teams to score 46.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.39% | 59.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.06% | 79.94% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% | 35.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% | 72.1% |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% | 64.12% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.51% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 12.63% 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 3.47% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |