Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.
