Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
0 - 0
Southampton

Walker-Peters (52'), Livramento (84')

Reaction

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola looks on on September 11, 2021

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Sep 18, 17:30

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 12.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
70.55%	16.95%	12.5%

Both teams to score 55.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.58%

34.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.66%

56.34%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.32%

8.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.09%

29.91%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.7%

39.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99%

76.01%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 70.54%

Southampton 12.5%

Draw 16.95%

Manchester City	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 8.34% 3-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 7.75% 4-0 @ 5.07% 4-1 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.62% 5-0 @ 2.48% 5-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-2 @ 1.08% 6-0 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.97% Total : 70.54%	1-1 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 4.45% 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.95%	1-2 @ 3.64% 0-1 @ 3.19% 0-2 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.5%