Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Burnley |
45.98% | 27.46% | 26.56% |
Both teams to score 46.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.15% | 58.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.64% | 79.35% |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% | 25.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.54% | 60.46% |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.91% | 38.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.14% | 74.85% |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.54% 1-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.62% Total : 26.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 31 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
6 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 24 |
8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
9 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
15 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 5 |
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