Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 7

Oct 3, 2021 at 2pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 1
Aston Villa

Hojbjerg (27'), Targett (71' og.)
Skipp (36'), Romero (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watkins (67')
Ramsey (31')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Aston Villa
54.55%	24.81%	20.64%

Both teams to score 47.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.9%

54.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48%

75.53%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21%

19.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16%

51.85%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.96%

41.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.41%

77.59%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 54.54%

Aston Villa 20.64%

Draw 24.8%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 5.13% 4-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.75% Total : 54.54%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.23% 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.21% Total : 20.64%