Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 32.51% | 27.48% | 40% |
| Both teams to score 48.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% | 56.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% | 77.64% |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.63% | 32.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.12% | 68.88% |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.28% | 27.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.71% | 63.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.39% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.89% Total : 40% |