Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 1
Legia

Daka (11'), Maddison (21'), Ndidi (33')
Thomas (61'), Albrighton (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Mladenovic (26')
Mladenovic (39'), Wieteska (48'), Jedrzejczyk (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Leicester City and Legia Warsaw, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.62%) and 1-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Legia Warsaw
45.5%	21.55%	32.96%

Both teams to score 69.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.47%

29.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.38%

50.62%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16%

13.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.79%

41.21%

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.59%

50.41%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 45.5%

Legia Warsaw 32.96%

Draw 21.55%

Leicester City	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 5.62% 1-0 @ 5.18% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.78% 4-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-3 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 8.62% 2-2 @ 7.1% 0-0 @ 2.62% 3-3 @ 2.6% Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.55%	1-2 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 3.94% 0-2 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.66% 2-4 @ 1.64% 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.47% Total : 32.96%