Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 20, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
3 - 4
Leicester

Sobolev (11', 86'), Larsson (44')
Litvinov (33'), Lomovitski (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Daka (45', 48', 54', 79')
Pereira (30'), Soumare (88')

Reaction

Leicester City's Patson Daka with the matchball after a hat trick at the end of the match against Spartak Moscow on October 20, 2021

Patson Daka nets four goals in stunning Leicester City comeback

Leicester City forward Patson Daka hits four goals as the Foxes fight back from two goals down to defeat Spartak Moscow in Thursday's Europa League clash.

Oct 20, 22:38

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Spartak Moscow and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Spartak Moscow	Draw	Leicester City
30.78%	23.94%	45.28%

Both teams to score 59.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.68%

42.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.28%

64.72%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54%

61.46%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.09%

18.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.6%

50.4%

Score Analysis

Spartak Moscow 30.78%

Leicester City 45.28%

Draw 23.94%

Spartak Moscow	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.38% 1-0 @ 6.64% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.78%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.22% 0-1 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.13% 0-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.35% Total : 45.28%