Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 20, 2021 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 1
Southampton

Pukki (7'), Hanley (79')
Williams (64'), Krul (90+3'), Normann (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Adams (4')
Bednarek (64'), Walker-Peters (71')

Reaction

Southampton's Oriol Romeu in action with Norwich City's Billy Gilmour, November 20, 2021

Billy Gilmour: "happy to be back playing" for Norwich City

Billy Gilmour has admitted that he is "happy to be back" after returning to the Norwich City starting lineup at the weekend.

Nov 22, 23:59

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
39.82%	26.4%	33.78%

Both teams to score 52.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86%

52.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.14%

73.86%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.29%

25.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37%

60.63%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76%

29.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81%

65.19%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 39.81%

Southampton 33.78%

Draw 26.39%

Norwich City	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.81%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.78%

How you voted: Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich City

30.2%

Draw

18.2%

Southampton

51.6%