Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 18

Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 4
Arsenal

Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')

Reaction

Leeds United's Tyler Roberts in action with Arsenal's Thomas Partey on December 18, 2021

Premier League investigating alleged racist abuse towards Arsenal bench

The Premier League is investigating allegations of racist abuse directed at the Arsenal bench during Saturday's match against Leeds United at Elland Road.

Dec 18, 20:27

Arsenal's Gabriel Martinelli celebrates scoring their second goal on December 18, 2021

Watch: Gabriel Martinelli scores landmark Arsenal goal against Leeds United

Gabriel Martinelli's opening goal against Leeds United sees Arsenal become only the third team in English football history to score 7,000 top-flight goals.

Dec 18, 18:14

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Arsenal
41.32%	24.87%	33.82%

Both teams to score 57.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53%

45.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2%

67.81%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02%

21.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71%

55.29%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39%

61.01%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 41.32%

Arsenal 33.82%

Draw 24.86%

Leeds United	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.83% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 6.55% 3-1 @ 4.46% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.32%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.82%