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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Elland Road
Arsenal logo

Leeds
1 - 4
Arsenal

Raphinha (75' pen.)
Gelhardt (53'), Dallas (56'), Koch (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Martinelli (16', 28'), Saka (42'), Smith Rowe (84')
Xhaka (86')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League meeting with Leeds United.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United on Saturday.

We said: Leeds United 1-1 Arsenal

The formbook points firmly to an Arsenal win in this match, but it may not be that straightforward with Leeds having only lost twice at home this season and Arsenal having only won twice on the road. Bielsa will also be demanding a response to Tuesday's mauling at Man City, so we are backing the hosts to get something out of this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
41.32%24.87%33.82%
Both teams to score 57.74%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53%45.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2%67.81%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02%25.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39%61.01%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 41.32%
    Arsenal 33.82%
    Draw 24.86%
Leeds UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 8.83%
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-1 @ 7.7%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.82%

How you voted: Leeds vs Arsenal

Leeds United
14.4%
Draw
14.4%
Arsenal
71.3%
327
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Last 16
Arsenal
2-0
Leeds
Chambers (55'), Nketiah (69')
Soares (59')

Roberts (23')
Feb 14, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 24
Arsenal
4-2
Leeds
Aubameyang (13', 41' pen., 47'), Bellerin (45')
Struijk (58'), Costa (69')
Struijk (70'), Dallas (90+6')
Nov 22, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Leeds
0-0
Arsenal
Dallas (15'), Cooper (86'), Phillips (90+3')
Pepe (52')
Jan 6, 2020 7.56pm
Apr 16, 2004 3pm
Arsenal
5-0
Leeds
Pires (6'), Henry (27', 50', 67', 33' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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