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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 44.62% | 28.43% | 26.95% |
| Both teams to score 43.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.09% | 61.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% | 81.67% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% | 27.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.74% | 63.26% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.53% | 39.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.84% | 76.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 8.38% 3-0 @ 3.86% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.71% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.42% | 0-1 @ 10.16% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.94% |