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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Peterborough United |
48.09% | 26.51% | 25.4% |
Both teams to score 47.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.79% | 56.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% | 77.26% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% | 23.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.6% | 57.39% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% | 37.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% | 74.41% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.09% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.81% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.61% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.21% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
2 | Leicester CityLeicester | 42 | 28 | 4 | 10 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 88 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 43 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 87 |
4 | Southampton | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 84 | 54 | 30 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 43 | 21 | 8 | 14 | 76 | 60 | 16 | 71 |
7 | Hull City | 42 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 65 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 56 | 5 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 56 | 60 | -4 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 59 |
12 | Bristol City | 43 | 16 | 10 | 17 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 58 |
13 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 53 |
15 | Watford | 43 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 52 |
16 | Millwall | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 50 |
17 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 57 | 71 | -14 | 49 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 47 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 60 | -19 | 47 |
21 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 43 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 45 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 44 |
23 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 23 |
> Championship Full Table |