Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Bates (17' og.), Sporar (69')
Howson (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Samba (32'), Carvalho (71'), Yates (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Nottingham Forest
41.53%	28.8%	29.67%

Both teams to score 44.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.95%

62.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.23%

81.77%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55%

29.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55%

65.45%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.69%

37.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.91%

74.09%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 41.53%

Nottingham Forest 29.67%

Draw 28.79%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.43% 2-0 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 10.83% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.76% Total : 29.67%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Nott'm Forest

Middlesbrough

66.7%

Draw

20.0%

Nottingham Forest

13.3%