Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.