Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.