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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 48.24% | 26.54% | 25.21% |
| Both teams to score 47.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.55% | 56.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.54% | 77.46% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% | 23.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% | 37.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.29% | 74.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.24% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.06% 0-2 @ 4.18% 1-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.63% Total : 25.21% |