Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.