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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 34.1% | 28.5% | 37.4% |
| Both teams to score 46.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% | 60.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% | 80.34% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% | 33.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% | 69.65% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% | 30.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% | 67.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 7.35% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 11.99% 1-2 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.39% |