Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.34%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.