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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.34%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 72.93% | 18.08% | 8.98% |
| Both teams to score 38.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% | 49.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% | 71.72% |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.81% | 12.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.15% | 37.84% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.09% | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.58% | 88.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-0 @ 15.09% 1-0 @ 14.34% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 6.16% 4-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 3.24% 5-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.92% | 1-1 @ 8.34% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.08% | 0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 2.43% 0-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.44% Total : 8.98% |