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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 8.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.34%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Birmingham City |
72.93% | 18.08% | 8.98% |
Both teams to score 38.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% | 49.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% | 71.72% |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.81% | 12.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.15% | 37.84% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.09% | 55.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.58% | 88.41% |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Birmingham City |
2-0 @ 15.09% 1-0 @ 14.34% 3-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 8.78% 3-1 @ 6.16% 4-0 @ 5.57% 4-1 @ 3.24% 5-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.72% Total : 72.92% | 1-1 @ 8.34% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 2.55% Other @ 0.38% Total : 18.08% | 0-1 @ 3.96% 1-2 @ 2.43% 0-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.44% Total : 8.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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