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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
FT
(aet)
Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
38.57%26.79%34.64%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.57%
    Plymouth Argyle 34.64%
    Draw 26.79%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
53.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham
Jaidi (75')
Muamba (26'), Jerome (37'), Clemence (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
2Arsenal32225575264971
3Liverpool32218372314171
4Aston Villa33196868491963
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham33139115258-648
9Chelsea31138106152947
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves32127134651-543
12Fulham33126154951-242
13Bournemouth32119124757-1042
14Crystal Palace3289153754-1733
15Brentford3388174758-1132
16Everton3298153248-1627
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3379174258-1626
18Luton TownLuton3367204670-2425
19Burnley3348213368-3520
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3237223084-5416


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