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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham
0 - 1
Plymouth


Woods (28'), Friend (58'), Aneke (90+6')
Friend (68')
FT
(aet)
Law (104')
Houghton (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Birmingham City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We say: Birmingham City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham City will likely head into this match as the favourites, purely because of the league that they are in, but when it comes to form this season, that should not be the case. The Blues have struggled at points in this campaign, and that lack of confidence could end up costing them, providing Plymouth the chance to cause an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
38.57%26.79%34.64%
Both teams to score 51.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38%53.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88%75.12%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58%29.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58%65.41%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 38.57%
    Plymouth Argyle 34.64%
    Draw 26.79%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.8%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 9.75%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.64%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Plymouth

Birmingham City
33.3%
Draw
13.3%
Plymouth Argyle
53.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2013 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-2
Plymouth
Allan (48', 84'), Bartley (92')
Alessandra (61', 90')
Apr 13, 2009 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Plymouth
Queudrue (50')
Jaidi (41'), Jerome (57'), Johnson (86')
Taylor (23')
Gallagher (26' pen.)
Barnes (20'), Gray (49'), Fletcher (81')
Dec 9, 2008 3pm
Dec 2, 2006 3pm
Nov 4, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Birmingham
Jaidi (75')
Muamba (26'), Jerome (37'), Clemence (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Bournemouth157352320324
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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