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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 33.66% | 27.89% | 38.45% |
| Both teams to score 47.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% | 57.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% | 78.68% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% | 32.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% | 68.75% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% | 29.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% | 65.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 7.42% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.66% | 1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.31% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.44% |