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Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2026 at 3pm UK
 
Birmingham logo

vs.

Coverage of the Championship clash between Watford and Birmingham City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Southampton
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Birmingham City has a probability of 29.11% and a draw has a probability of 26.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.47%).

Result
WatfordDrawBirmingham City
44.64% (0.161 0.16)26.25% (-0.111 -0.11)29.11% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.313 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (0.418 0.42)53.08% (-0.41399999999999 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.354 0.35)74.66% (-0.351 -0.35)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (0.261 0.26)23.68% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.21% (0.375 0.38)57.79% (-0.372 -0.37)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.182 0.18)32.94% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48% (0.2 0.2)69.52% (-0.199 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.63%
    Birmingham City 29.11%
    Draw 26.24%
WatfordDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.63%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.098999999999998 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 29.11%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2025 8pm
Birmingham
2-1
Watford
Seung-ho (31'), Gray (43')
Doyle (24'), Stansfield (78'), Roberts (80')
Maamma (61')
Kyprianou (20'), Louza (76')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
gameweek 38
Birmingham
0-1
Watford
Dennis (44')
Chakvetadze (68'), Asprilla (88'), Bachmann (90+4')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
gameweek 6
Watford
2-0
Birmingham
Rajovic (90+1'), Andrews (90+6')
Hoedt (55')

Drameh (5'), Buchanan (35'), Bielik (38'), Stansfield (57'), Sunjic (60'), Longelo (90+3')
Buchanan (88')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 37
Watford
3-0
Birmingham
Louza (6'), Davis (16'), Assombalonga (74')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Birmingham
1-1
Watford
Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')
rhs 2.0


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