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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Southampton |
| 55.69% ( | 22.03% ( | 22.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( | 40.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( | 62.95% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( | 14.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( | 42.44% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( | 31.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 55.69% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0-1 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.27% |