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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
 
Southampton logo

vs.

Coverage of the Championship clash between Birmingham City and Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-0 Birmingham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Birmingham vs. Derby
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Next Game: Oxford Utd vs. Southampton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw has a probability of 21.51% and a win for Southampton has a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Southampton win it is 1-2 (5.64%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSouthampton
57.16%21.51%21.33%
Both teams to score 58.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65%39.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31%61.69%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4%13.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26%40.74%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.42%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 57.16%
    Southampton 21.33%
    Draw 21.51%
Birmingham CityDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.87%
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 8.65%
3-1 @ 6.56%
3-0 @ 5.75%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.27%
4-0 @ 2.87%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.31%
5-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 57.16%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 4.35%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.83%
1-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 21.33%

Head to Head
Dec 6, 2025 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Birmingham
Azaz (6'), Armstrong (24', 58')
Aribo (90+2'), Eckert (90+6'), (90+6')
Gray (54')
Iwata (49')
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
gameweek 35
Birmingham
3-4
Southampton
Miyoshi (2'), Stansfield (41'), Bacuna (77')
Miyoshi (24'), Sunjic (87'), Laird (88')
Sanderson (62')
Armstrong (18'), Brooks (55'), Adams (59'), Aribo (90+6')
Smallbone (67')
Oct 28, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 14
Southampton
3-1
Birmingham
Harwood-Bellis (9'), Alcaraz (22'), Armstrong (86')
Stansfield (58')
Aiwu (44'), Gardner (80'), James (90+3'), Stansfield (90+9')
Feb 4, 2012 5.20pm
Birmingham
0-0
Southampton
Caldwell (89')
Fox (22')
Fox (83')
Sep 18, 2011 3pm
Southampton
4-1
Birmingham
Lambert (34', 11' pen.), Chaplow (78')
Wood (49')
Caldwell (10'), Spector (14'), Carr (81')