Championship
Dec 29, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Phil Neumann 49' goal
  • Phil Neumann 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Wood 41'
  • yellowcard Caspar Jander 48'
  • goal Cameron Archer 71'

Birmingham City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 12.30pm
Birmingham 1 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Marvin Ducksch

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 55.69%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Birmingham City 55.69% (+0.03)
Draw 22.03% (-0.01)
Southampton 22.27% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.34% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.43% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 40.57% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.05% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.95% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 19.82% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.18% (+0.02)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 85.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.47% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 57.56% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.44% (-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 68.21% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.79% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 31.77% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.22% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 55.69%
Draw 22.03%
Southampton 22.27%
Birmingham City
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.68% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 55.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.03%
Southampton
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 22.27%

Head to Head

Championship
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Finn Azaz 6' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 24' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 58' goal
  • Joe Aribo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Tonda Eckert 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 49'
  • goal Demarai Gray 54'
Championship Gameweek 35
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Koji Miyoshi 2' goal
  • Koji Miyoshi 24' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 41' goal
  • Dion Sanderson 62' redcard
  • Juninho Bacuna 77' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 87' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 88' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Armstrong 18'
  • goal David Brooks 55'
  • goal Che Adams 59'
  • yellowcard William Smallbone 67'
  • goal Joe Aribo 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 14
Oct 28, 2023 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Taylor Harwood-Bellis 9' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 22' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 86' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 44'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 58'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 80'
  • yellowcard Jordan James 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 90'+9'
Championship
Feb 4, 2012 5.20pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Caldwell 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Fox 22'
  • redcard Danny Fox 83'
Championship
Sep 18, 2011 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rickie Lambert 11' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 34' goal
  • Richard Chaplow 78' goal
  • yellowcard Steve Caldwell 10'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Spector 14'
  • goal Chris Wood 49'
  • yellowcard Stephen Carr 81'
Championship
Mar 7, 2009 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Keith Fahey 45' goal
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 27'