Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.