Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.