Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 23.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.