Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.