Championship

Dec 6, 2025 at 3pm UK

Southampton
3-1
Birmingham Birmingham City

Azaz (6'), Armstrong (24', 58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gray (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 13 at 12.30pm in Championship

Next Game: Southampton vs. Coventry
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Sheff Utd vs. Birmingham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Birmingham City
35.94%	25.76%	38.3%

Both teams to score 55.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85%

49.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78%

71.21%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52%

26.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33%

61.67%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84%

25.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.13%

59.87%

Score Analysis

Southampton 35.94%

Birmingham City 38.3%

Draw 25.75%

Southampton	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.94%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.66% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.3%