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Championship
Dec 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
West Brom logo

3-2

FT(HT: 3-0)
Grant (62'), Phillips (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, December 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Next Game: Southampton vs. Coventry
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Next Game: Hull City vs. West Brom
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
42.34%25.01%32.65%
Both teams to score 56.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53%46.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25%68.75%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07%21.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8%55.2%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41%62.59%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 42.34%
    West Bromwich Albion 32.65%
    Draw 25.01%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 6.86%
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.82%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.65%

Head to Head
May 17, 2024 8pm
Southampton
3-1
West Brom
Smallbone (49'), Armstrong (78', 86' pen.)
Kipre (90+7')
Mowatt (75'), Swift (82'), Kipre (89'), M'Vila (90+4')
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
gameweek 33
West Brom
0-2
Southampton

Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
Corberan (45')
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
gameweek 16
Southampton
2-1
West Brom
Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
Bartley (65')
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')