Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.