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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 31.73% | 27.2% | 41.08% |
| Both teams to score 49.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% | 55.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% | 76.92% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.55% | 32.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.03% | 68.97% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% | 26.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% | 61.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.66% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.67% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.44% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 3.74% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.07% |