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Championship
Dec 9, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Birmingham logo

2-1

Dunne (40'), Morgan (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Roberts (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 QPR
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: QPR vs. Leicester
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Sheff Utd vs. Birmingham
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
31.73%27.2%41.08%
Both teams to score 49.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21%55.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.92%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55%32.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03%68.97%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29%26.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02%61.97%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 31.73%
    Birmingham City 41.07%
    Draw 27.19%
Queens Park RangersDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.73%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-2 @ 7.55%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 41.07%

Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
gameweek 39
QPR
2-1
Birmingham
Cook (65'), Dunne (90+2')
Hayden (58'), Colback (74')
Bacuna (62')
Laird (47'), Roberts (51')
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
gameweek 8
Birmingham
0-0
QPR
Bacuna (54'), Sanderson (67'), Stansfield (90')
Field (45'), Smyth (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 38
QPR
0-1
Birmingham
Chong (3')
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 18
Birmingham
2-0
QPR
Trusty (4'), Longelo (29')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 26
Birmingham
1-2
QPR
Aneke (75')
Sunjic (88')
Adomah (14'), Willock (71')
Dickie (59'), Amos (74'), Field (88')