Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (9.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.