Championship

Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

Oxford Utd Oxford United
2-1
Southampton

Goodrham (23'), Mills (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Harwood-Bellis (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Southampton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Oxford Utd vs. Swansea
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Southampton
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: Birmingham vs. Southampton
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
28.36% ( -0.17)	23.71% ( -0.02)	47.92% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.96% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34% (

-0.02)

42.66% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94% (

-0.02)

65.06% (

0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.13)

28.12% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-0.16)

63.79% (

0.16)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

0.07)

17.98% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17% (

0.12)

48.83% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 28.36%

Southampton 47.92%

Draw 23.71%

Oxford United	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.36%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.92%