Championship
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Brodie Spencer 8' yellowcard
  • Tyler Goodrham 23' goal
  • Stanley Mills 89' goal
  • Stanley Mills 90' yellowcard
  • 90' yellowcard
  • goal Taylor Harwood-Bellis 29'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 37'

Oxford United vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Charlton 1 - 0 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
Southampton 1 - 1 Coventry
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Finn Azaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Oxford United 28.36% (-0.17)
Draw 23.71% (-0.03)
Southampton 47.92% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.96% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.34% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 42.66% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 34.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 65.06% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 18.22% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.78% (+0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 71.88% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 28.12% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 36.21% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 63.79% (+0.17)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 82.02% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 17.98% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 51.17% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 48.83% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Oxford United 28.36%
Draw 23.71%
Southampton 47.92%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.07% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 28.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.71%
Southampton
1-2 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.67% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.44% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 4.26% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.43% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.32% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 47.92%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Mark Harris 35' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 43' goal