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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Southampton logo

vs.

Coverage of the Championship clash between Oxford United and Southampton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Southampton win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Oxford United has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Oxford United win is 2-1 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.01%).

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton
28.53% (0.327 0.33)23.74% (-0.196 -0.2)47.73% (-0.133 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.01% (0.92299999999999 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.36% (1.107 1.11)42.64% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.95% (1.094 1.09)65.04% (-1.094 -1.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (0.798 0.8)27.99% (-0.799 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (1.006 1.01)63.63% (-1.007 -1.01)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (0.378 0.38)18.04% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.644 0.64)48.94% (-0.645 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 28.53%
    Southampton 47.73%
    Draw 23.73%
Oxford UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.43% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.253 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.323 -0.32)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.43% (0.109 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 47.73%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 7.30pm
Club Friendlies 3
Oxford Utd
2-0
Southampton
Harris (35'), Rodrigues (43')
rhs 2.0


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