Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.