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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 40.42% | 26.13% | 33.44% |
| Both teams to score 53.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% | 24.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% | 59.55% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% | 64.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.59% Total : 40.42% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.44% |