Championship
Gameweek
23
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-
Christoph Klarer
49'
-
Jack Robinson
64'
-
Jay Stansfield
71'
-
Paik Seung-ho
74'
-
Seung-ho Paik
74'
-
Christoph Klarer
90'+2'
-
Patrick Agyemang
27'
-
Joe Ward
29'
-
Joe Ward
39'
-
Sondre Langas
71'
-
Sondre Langås
71'
Birmingham City vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.76% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 13.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result
Birmingham City
65.91%
▼
(-0.34)
Draw
20.76%
▲
(+0.27)
Derby County
13.33%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
44.76%
▼
(-0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.28%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 2.5
49.72%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 3.5
28.27%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 3.5
71.73%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 4.5
13.5%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 4.5
86.5%
▲
(+0.54)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5
85.74%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
14.26%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 1.5
57.96%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
42.04%
▲
(+0.76)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
52.2%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 0.5
47.8%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
16.92%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
83.08%
▲
(+0.32)
Score analysis
Birmingham City
65.9%
Draw
20.76%
Derby County
13.33%
Birmingham City
1-0
@
13.27%
▲
(+0.29)
2-0 @ 12.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.9%
2-0 @ 12.92% ▲ (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.2% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.09)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.9%
Draw
1-1
@
9.8%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.76%
0-0 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.25)
2-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.76%
Derby County
0-1
@
5.03%
▲
(+0.13)
1-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.33%
1-2 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.33%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
29
-
Luke Plange
87'
-
Krystian Bielik
90'+5'
-
Lyle Taylor
7'
-
Scott Hogan
56'
-
Ryan Woods
62'
-
Neil Etheridge
63'
-
Gary Gardner
70'
-
Jordan James
89'
Championship
Gameweek
6
-
Scott Hogan
31'
-
Ivan Sunjic
57'
-
Marc Roberts
76'
-
Jeremy Bela
81'
-
Graeme Shinnie
24'
-
Ravel Morrison
76'
-
Tom Lawrence
76'
Championship
Gameweek
44
-
Colin Kazim-Richards
36'
-
Lukas Jutkiewicz
62'
-
Lukas Jutkiewicz
84'
Championship
Gameweek
22
-
Krystian Bielik
15'
-
Graeme Shinnie
17'
-
Colin Kazim-Richards
26'
-
Louie Sibley
67'
-
Jason Knight
77'
Championship
Gameweek
46
-
Ivan Sunjic
56'
-
90'+4'
-
Graeme Shinnie
6'
-
Morgan Whittaker
87'
-
Louie Sibley
90'+1'
Championship
Gameweek
9
-
Chris Martin
2'
-
Duane Holmes
44'
-
Krystian Bielik
45'
-
Martyn Waghorn
50'
-
Jamie Paterson
74'
-
Scott Malone
92'
-
Alvaro
22'
-
Gary Gardner
56'
-
Ivan Sunjic
59'