Championship

Dec 26, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Birmingham Birmingham City
1-1
Derby Derby County

Robinson (64')
Klarer (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Agyemang (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Derby
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Next Game: Birmingham vs. Southampton
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Derby
Friday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

Next Game: Leicester vs. Derby
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.76% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 13.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%) , while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
65.91% ( -0.34)	20.76% ( 0.26)	13.33% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.76% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.28% (

-0.88)

49.72% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.27% (

-0.8)

71.73% (

0.8)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.74% (

-0.38)

14.26% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.96% (

-0.75)

42.04% (

0.75)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

-0.42)

47.8% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.92% (

-0.31)

83.08% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 65.9%

Derby County 13.33%

Draw 20.76%

Birmingham City	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.9%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.76%	0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.33%