Championship

Dec 6, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Derby Derby County
1-3
Leicester Leicester City

Langas (63')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Reid (8'), Skipp (15'), James (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-3 Derby
Monday, December 15 at 8pm in Championship

Next Game: Derby vs. Portsmouth
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

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Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Ipswich
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Championship

Next Game: QPR vs. Leicester
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Leicester City
43.74%	26.84%	29.41%

Both teams to score 49.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75%

55.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53%

76.47%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92%

25.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24%

59.76%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15%

33.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48%

70.52%

Score Analysis

Derby County 43.74%

Leicester City 29.41%

Draw 26.83%

Derby County	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.74%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.41%