Championship
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Ebou Adams 22' yellowcard
  • Sondre Langas 24' yellowcard
  • Sondre Langas 63' goal
  • Liam Thompson 77' yellowcard
  • goal Bobby Reid 8'
  • goal Oliver Skipp 15'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 19'
  • goal Jordan James 31'
  • yellowcard Bobby Reid 64'

Derby County vs Leicester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Patrick Agyemang

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 29, 2025 12.30pm
Leicester 2 - 3 Sheff Utd
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jordan James

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 43.74%
Draw 26.84%
Leicester City 29.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.56%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.75%
Under 2.5 55.24%
Over 3.5 23.53%
Under 3.5 76.47%
Over 4.5 10.44%
Under 4.5 89.56%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 74.92%
Under 0.5 25.07%
Over 1.5 40.24%
Under 1.5 59.76%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 66.15%
Under 0.5 33.85%
Over 1.5 29.48%
Under 1.5 70.52%

Score analysis

Derby County 43.74%
Draw 26.83%
Leicester City 29.41%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.12%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.49%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.83%
Leicester City
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.41%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 23, 2022 1.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tom Barkhuizen 65' goal
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 55'
  • goal Patson Daka 79'
  • goal Callum Wright 87'
FA Cup
Feb 8, 2017 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nampalys Mendy 9' yellowcard
  • Andy King 46' goal
  • Ahmed Musa 84' yellowcard
  • Wilfred Ndidi 94' goal
  • Demarai Gray 113' goal
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 5'
  • goal Abdoul Camara 61'
FA Cup
Jan 27, 2017 7.55pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Darren Bent 21' goal
  • Craig Bryson 40' goal
  • Alex Pearce 55' yellowcard
  • goal Darren Bent 8' (OG)
  • goal Wes Morgan 86'
Championship
Jan 10, 2014 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ritchie De Laet 25' goal
  • David Nugent 48' goal
  • David Nugent 60' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 64' goal
  • goal Ritchie De Laet 59' (OG)
  • yellowcard Craig Bryson 78'
League Cup
Sep 24, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jeff Schlupp 73' yellowcard
  • Anthony Knockaert 75' goal
  • Danny Drinkwater 81' goal
  • goal Chris Martin 42'
Championship
Aug 17, 2013 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • yellowcard Matty James 24'
  • goal Lee Grant 37' (OG)
  • yellowcard Liam Moore 77'