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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
| 33.97% | 26.9% | 39.13% |
| Both teams to score 50.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.83% | 54.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.42% | 75.58% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% | 66.27% |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% | 62.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.65% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.13% |