Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 (9.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.