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Championship
Dec 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
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1-1

Cooper (88' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clarke (81' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-3 Derby
Monday, December 15 at 8pm in Championship
Next Game: Derby vs. Portsmouth
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in Championship
Top scorers
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Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in Championship
Next Game: Blackburn vs. Millwall
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (10.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawMillwall
35.88%27.63%36.49%
Both teams to score 48.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.15%56.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23%77.78%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76%30.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6%66.41%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.95%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.88%
    Millwall 36.49%
    Draw 27.63%
Derby CountyDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 6.46%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-0 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 35.88%
1-1 @ 13.05%
0-0 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 10.91%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 6.6%
1-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.49%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
gameweek 34
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Goudmijn (44'), Nyambe (54')
Coburn (90+5')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
gameweek 10
Millwall
1-1
Derby
Ivanovic (85')
Bryan (37'), Wintle (90')
Yates (78')
Feb 23, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Derby
1-2
Millwall
Cooper (88' og.)
Allsop (90')
Wallace (2'), Burey (30')
Saville (29')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 17
Millwall
1-1
Derby
Malone (45+1')
Mitchell (58'), Cooper (90+1')
Ebosele (44')
Byrne (27')
Byrne (64')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
gameweek 36
Derby
0-1
Millwall

Shinnie (84')
Hutchinson (45')
Evans (58')