Championship

Championship | Gameweek 10

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Derby

Ivanovic (85')
Bryan (37'), Wintle (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yates (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 2-0 QPR
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Derby County
40.29% ( 0)	27.47% ( -0.02)	32.24% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

0.05)

56.68% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

0.04)

77.64% (

-0.05)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

0.03)

27.56% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

0.03)

63.08% (

-0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

0.03)

32.56% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91% (

0.04)

69.09% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Millwall 40.29%

Derby County 32.23%

Draw 27.46%

Millwall	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 32.23%