Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 0
Cardiff

Goudmijn (28')
Adams (20'), Mendez-Laing (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bagan (56'), Fish (61'), Ralls (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Derby 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
47.93% ( -0.04)	26.01% ( 0.01)	26.06% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.12% (

-0.03)

53.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.66% (

-0.02)

75.34% (

0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0.03)

22.49% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.95% (

-0.04)

56.05% (

0.05)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21% (

0.01)

35.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

72.57% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 47.93%

Cardiff City 26.07%

Draw 26.01%

Derby County	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.93%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.01%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 26.07%