Championship Gameweek 4
Cardiff
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Emmanouil Siopis 5' yellowcard
  • Jesper Daland 39' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Clarke 55'
  • yellowcard Aidan Morris 69'
  • goal Aaron Ramsey 82' (OG)

Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Aug 25, 2024 3.00pm
Swansea 1 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Callum Robinson

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Portsmouth
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Cardiff City 27.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 24.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Middlesbrough 48.91% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.57% ▼ (-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 81.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 27.03%
Draw 24.06%
Middlesbrough 48.91%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 6.74% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31%
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.06%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.91%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 45
Cardiff
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Josh Bowler 90'+1' goal
  • goal Matt Clarke 45'
  • goal Finn Azaz 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 56'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 60'
Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Cardiff
  • Isaiah Jones 56' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 75' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 84' goal
  • yellowcard Karlan Grant 32'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 36'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 80'
Championship Gameweek 31
Cardiff
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Sory Kaba 25' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 17'
  • goal Cameron Archer 38'
  • goal Riley McGree 90'
Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Riverside Stadium
Cardiff
  • Duncan Watmore 76' goal
  • Rodrigo Muniz 77' goal
  • goal Callum O'Dowda 4'
  • goal Neil Harris 20'
  • goal Perry Ng 45'
Championship Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Cardiff
  • Marcus Tavernier 28' goal
  • Riley McGree 53' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 88' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 27'
  • yellowcard Ryan Wintle 33'
  • yellowcard Oliver Denham 62'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 90'
Championship Gameweek 14
Cardiff
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Marlon Pack 28' yellowcard
  • Mark McGuinness 34' yellowcard
  • Aden Flint 70' yellowcard
  • goal Andraz Sporar 35'
  • yellowcard Uche Ikpeazu 38'
  • goal Martin Payero 74'

Form Data

Cardiff 3 - 5 Southampton
Swansea 1 - 1 Cardiff
Burnley 5 - 0 Cardiff
Cardiff 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Cardiff 0 - 2 Sunderland
Bristol Rovers 0 - 2 Cardiff
Middlesbrough 0 - 5 Stoke
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Portsmouth
Derby 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Leeds 0 - 3 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Swansea
Middlesbrough 1 - 0 Heerenveen