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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 27.03% ( | 24.06% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( | 45.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( | 67.49% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( | 30.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( | 18.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( | 49.8% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 2-0 @ 4% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 3-0 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.03% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0-2 @ 8% ( 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 0-3 @ 4.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 2-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.91% |