Championship Gameweek 45
Cardiff
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Josh Bowler 90'+1' goal
  • goal Matt Clarke 45'
  • goal Finn Azaz 49'
  • goal Emmanuel Latte Lath 56'
  • goal Alex Gilbert 60'

Cardiff City vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Cardiff 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Perry Ng

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2024 8.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 4 Leeds
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Emmanuel Latte Lath

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result

Cardiff City 29.87% ▲ (+0.21)
Draw 24.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Middlesbrough 45.86% ▼ (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.04% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.33% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 17.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 82.99% ▼ (-0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 72.07% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 27.93% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 1.5 36.45% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 63.56% ▼ (-0.20)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 80.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 19.48% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 48.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 51.34% ▲ (+0.14)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 29.87%
Draw 24.28%
Middlesbrough 45.86%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 29.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.28%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 45.86%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Cardiff
  • Isaiah Jones 56' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 75' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Latte Lath 84' goal
  • yellowcard Karlan Grant 32'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 36'
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 80'
Championship Gameweek 31
Cardiff
Feb 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Cardiff City Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Sory Kaba 25' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 17'
  • goal Cameron Archer 38'
  • goal Riley McGree 90'
Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 3
FT Riverside Stadium
Cardiff
  • Duncan Watmore 76' goal
  • Rodrigo Muniz 77' goal
  • goal Callum O'Dowda 4'
  • goal Neil Harris 20'
  • goal Perry Ng 45'
Championship Gameweek 39
Middlesbrough
Apr 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Cardiff
  • Marcus Tavernier 28' goal
  • Riley McGree 53' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 88' yellowcard
  • Jonny Howson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Curtis Nelson 27'
  • yellowcard Ryan Wintle 33'
  • yellowcard Oliver Denham 62'
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 90'
Championship Gameweek 14
Cardiff
Oct 23, 2021 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Middlesbrough
  • Marlon Pack 28' yellowcard
  • Mark McGuinness 34' yellowcard
  • Aden Flint 70' yellowcard
  • goal Andraz Sporar 35'
  • yellowcard Uche Ikpeazu 38'
  • goal Martin Payero 74'
Championship Gameweek 33
Middlesbrough
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
Cardiff
  • Paddy McNair 82' goal
  • yellowcard Will Vaulks 30'
  • goal Sean Morrison 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Bennett 57'
  • yellowcard Perry Ng 59'

Form Data

Cardiff 2 - 1 Southampton
Millwall 3 - 1 Cardiff
Birmingham 0 - 1 Cardiff
Cardiff 1 - 3 Hull City
Coventry 1 - 2 Cardiff
Cardiff 0 - 2 Sunderland
Middlesbrough 3 - 4 Leeds
Ipswich 1 - 1 Middlesbrough
Hull City 2 - 2 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Swansea
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Sheff Weds
Southampton 1 - 1 Middlesbrough