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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Hull City
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Philogene-Bidace (29'), Michael Seri (41')
Giles (84'), Carvalho (86'), Philogene-Bidace (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Latte Lath (4'), Azaz (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough
42.08% (0.045999999999999 0.05)24.13% (0.029 0.03)33.79% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.95% (-0.159 -0.16)42.04% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-0.16 -0.16)64.44% (0.16 0.16)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)20.17% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.53% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)52.47% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.62% (-0.116 -0.12)24.37% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.21% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.78% (0.164 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 42.08%
    Middlesbrough 33.79%
    Draw 24.12%
Hull CityDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.79%

How you voted: Hull City vs Middlesbrough

Hull City
31.5%
Draw
20.5%
Middlesbrough
47.9%
73
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Middlesbrough
1-2
Hull City
Delap (69'), Tufan (82')
Coyle (65')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 43
Middlesbrough
3-1
Hull City
Hackney (55'), Archer (58'), Akpom (61')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Hull City
1-3
Middlesbrough
Christie (60')
Akpom (30'), Figueiredo (63' og.), Christie (80' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Middlesbrough
0-1
Hull City

Crooks (16'), Tavernier (70'), Connolly (81')
Lewis-Potter (74')
McLoughlin (26'), Slater (42'), Smallwood (80'), Honeyman (85'), Docherty (89')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 11
Hull City
2-0
Middlesbrough
Lumley (81' og.), Wilks (90+2')
Wilks (90+1')

Tavernier (7'), Peltier (58'), McNair (78')