Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.